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General Elections in May 2024 What to Expect?

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Well, this is not news but for investors and traders these things are important.

Here are a few things that will happen:

From April 2024 India VIX will increase up to 30 – then after the results are out, it will fall to 20 within 2-3 days. Then depending on how the new government works it will again go up to 25 or come back to normal levels of 15.

Option premiums will go up and down as per the Inda VIX. They are directly propionate. However Indoa VIX and Nifty are inversely proportional. You can read more about it here.

Historically Indian stock markets move up before the general elections.

Equity markets in the calendar year before the past five general elections have shown wide variance, with NSE Nifty 50 returning gains of 70% to suffering a plunge of over 50%. And the benchmark has been muted in the year before the last two general elections—rising less than 6% in 2013 and a little over 4% in 2018.

More details here:
https://www.bqprime.com/markets/how-indian-markets-react-a-year-before-the-general-election

So what you can do as an investor?

Pick good stocks and buy them in small amounts every month for the next 12 months. Sell them at a reasonable profit just before the results of the elections as you never know what will happen after the results are out.

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About the author: Dilip Shaw I started trading stock markets since 2007. However my first 3 years were losses. Then I dedicated almost 1 year on studying, researching, paper trading options and learned a lot in that time. Since 2011 I am trading Nifty options profitably. Call me if you need any help trading options on 9051143004.

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