≡ Menu

Since 4-Jul-19 both BSE (Bombay Stock Exchange) and NSE (National Stock Exchange) are falling.

Two main reasons are:

1. Business sectors such as Automobiles (Maruti Suzuki, Tata Motors), Banking (PNB, Yes Bank), Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFC) (Indiabulls Housing Finance Ltd), and even FMCG (Parle) are seeing a heavy slowdown in business. More than 1 lakh people have lost their jobs in these sectors in just the last two months and more will lose in the coming days.

2. FPIs and FIIs are selling, in fact, the rich investors in India also not happy.

Read this article to know what exactly is the problem.

Most important read from the article:

If FPIs earn an income of over Rs 2 crore entirely from listed equities, they will now need to pay 25 per cent surcharge on their capital gains, short or long. In the case of income of Rs 5 crore and above, the same will go up to 37 per cent.

In case of gains from unlisted securities and derivatives trade, STCG for the Rs 2-5 crore group will be 39 per cent, while it will be as high as 42.74 per cent for the Rs 5 crore-plus group.

Almost half of their profits will go away in taxes. Then why should they invest in India?

95% of FPIs and FIIs fall in the above category. Just imagine their anger.

Now coming to when things will get normal?

Well, business sectors written above can see growth only if government give them loans on low interest to expand the business. Which I do not see happening in the near future.

FPIs and FIIs are awaiting clearance on the exact nature of taxes they have to pay. In India, the tax system is very complex. You need an expert to understand the exact meaning of the new tax rules. So this may take time.

They want to rollback – but I do not think this government will do this. This government is known to keep increasing taxes.

It’s unfortunate but we have no control over what the government does.

So I suggest trade with strict stop loss and if you are an investor invest in a few good companies as most stocks are at a very attractive price. However, you may have to wait long to make a reasonable profit.

This is the reason I keep advocating non-directional strategies which are the most popular strategies in my Nifty and Bank Nifty courses.

There is no money in trying to trade direction. This path is full of losses only.

{ 0 comments }

This post discusses how Nifty Options settlement is done.

First thing you must know is that in India Nifty options are cash-settled. These are European-style settlements. A cash-settled option is a type of option for which actual physical delivery of the underlying asset or security is not required. The settlement results in a cash payment + brokerage and taxes, instead of settling in stocks, bonds, commodities or any other asset. In India, options are allowed for trading before expiration (European style). You cannot exercise Options in India before the expiry date (you can only sell them off to other buyers), which means a trader can buy/sell an option and finish the trade before expiry any time they want. However, in American style, the option contract owner is required to hold until expiration.

Though stock options settlements in India is moving towards cash settlement before expiry, however, if held until expiry then physical delivery of the stock is required. Here is the news report that you can read:
https://www.livemint.com/Money/RfzIRyoFkf1lI6Ar7GpURO/Sebi-takes-aim-at-extremist-speculators-with-new-derivativ.html

Here is list of stocks in which physical delivery is required if options are taken to expiry:
https://www1.nseindia.com/content/circulars/FAOP40257.pdf

And here is SEBI circular which explains that by October 2019 expiry ALL stocks where options are traded will be moved towards physical delivery of stocks:
https://www.sebi.gov.in/legal/circulars/dec-2018/physical-settlement-of-stock-derivatives_41482.html

American style settlement where the owner of the option has the right to exercise the option.

Thought introduced in a phased manner in April 2019, it is still not popular in India as Indian option trader rolls over the position but does not want to take delivery of shares.

But what happens in India if you fail to close the option trade and take it to expiry?

If the option you sold or bought expires worthless then there is nothing to be done. But if you bought an option and it ends in the money you will have to take the delivery of shares.

Here is small explanation of the meaning of exercising of options (not cash settlement):

Basically exercising means the right to buy or sell the stock at a certain price as defined in the options contract.

If the holder of a put option exercises the contract, then he will sell the underlying security at a stated price within a specific timeframe.

If the holder of a call option exercises the contract, then she will buy the underlying security at a stated price within a specific timeframe.

Before exercising an option, it is important to consider what type of option you have and whether you can exercise it. You should know the terms and conditions of trading options before you are trading them. If there is a confusion you can ask your broker.

Due to the above reason its HIGHLY RECOMMENDED that do not trade stock options. If you want to trade options then trade either Nifty or Banknifty options as neither Nifty nor Banknifty shares are traded in the market, so the question of settlement does not arise – they can be settled in cash only.

Here is what happens when an option is exercised:

A Put Option is a contract that gives its holder (the buyer) the right to sell a set number of equity shares at a set price, called the strike price, before a certain expiration date. However in India a stock option is exercised only on the expiry day

If the option is exercised, the writer of the option contract is obligated to purchase the shares from the option holder. “Exercising the option” means the buyer is opting to take advantage of the right to sell the shares at the strike price.

The opposite of a put option is a call option, which gives the contract holder the right to purchase a set amount of shares at the strike price prior to its expiration.

There are a number of ways to close out, or complete, the option trade depending on the circumstances.

If the option expires in the money, the option will be exercised. If the option expires out of the money, nothing happens, and the money paid for the option is lost.

Conclusion:

In India Index Options are cash-settled, which means you can buy/sell Nifty/Banknifty options anytime and close the trade anytime before expiry. Net result will be cash-settled. If you make a profit, your account will be credited with the profit money minus the brokerages. If you make a loss, the broker will deduct the loss plus brokerage from the money blocked from the margin to trade and release the rest of the money back to your account.

Here is an example.

Assuming Trader A buys a Nifty call option strike 11500 at 55. And margin blocked was 75 (lot size) * 55 = 4125.

He sells it at 70. So 75 (lot size) * 70 = 5250.

Profit made: 5250-4125 = 1125.

Assuming brokerage + taxes was 50 in this full transaction.

So the broker will release 4125 (initial margin blocked) + 1125 (profit) – 50 (brokerage + tax) = 5200 back to Trader A’s account.

This is cash-settlement. You can see that no change of stocks took place in this transaction, only cash exchanged hands.

Now suppose Trader A had sold that option at 40 then what would have happened?

75*40 = 3000

Loss made:

3000-4125 = -1125.

So the broker will release 4125 (initial margin blocked) – 1125 (loss) – 50 (brokerage + tax) = 2950 back to Trader A’s account.

As you can see whether profit or loss the option trade was cash-settled – there was no exchange of stocks.

However when you do stock option trade in India, after October 2019 there is almost a certainty that 100% of stock options will be exercised if in the money and you may have to either buy the stock in cash equal to number of lots traded or have to produce that many stocks from your account.

So if you trade stock options make sure to close the trade before expiry and NEVER let the stock option get in the money and be exercised.

Hope the above articles helped.

{ 8 comments }

This is a very common question befalling option buyers since ages. After paying the huge premium and the stock moving in the direction of the option bought if the option buyer sees a loss in options bought they get stressed and start thinking what wrong they did.

This is especially worrisome for novice options traders who just came into the options business. They get worried about seeing a huge decline in option premium if the stock stays in the same place or move slowly in the direction of the option bought. So they ask themselves or their mentors/brokers or keep searching online – why my option declined in price when the stock moved in my option buy direction?

Well, they did nothing wrong except they paid for time value and other things that I will discuss here.

Here is an explanation:

Assuming the stock is at 100 and at the money call option at 100 is bought for 5, then the option buyer will make money only if the stock crosses 105 before expiry. Even if the stock finishes at 104 the option buyer of strike 100 will lose money because he bought the option at strike 100 and paid 5 as premium. So the break-even point is 100+5 = 105. Anything above 105 is profit for the option buyer.

Now coming to the real world live trading. When you buy an option you are racing against time. In Option Greeks its known as Theta. Decay of theta is a big concern for option buyers.

Assuming your view is positive for a stock and your buy an ATM call option paying a hefty premium. The premium you paid for is your maximum risk. Everything is fine and the stock moves up slowly. You will be happy that the stock is going in your direction.

You login to your account happily and to your shock to see your option contracts losing value, means its premium is lower than what you paid for.

This can be frustrating.

Three reasons for this:

One, the stock did not move far enough for you to make a profit yet.
Two, change in implied volatility. If it has gone from a high level of volatility to a lower level the option will lose value.
Three, too much time taken for the move to come.

Please note that option contracts are multidimensional. This is not a simple trade as stock buying and holding. When you buy an option, you buy a lot of stocks by paying a small premium but you also pay for a few things that are not in your control. These are option Greeks. If you do not understand option geeks you can download an Option Greek file from here.

So remember in an option contract, you have this multidimensional issue. You have to not only predict the directional move of where the stock is going, but also how implied volatility and how time decay may impact the position in future. So sometimes even if you get the direction right you may lose money in buying option.

So whats the way out?

Way out is to keep a target to exit. Target should be both for taking loss as well as taking the profits. If you take out the profit and then option moves to make a very high premium you should not repent your decision to exit early. You traded with a plan and you exited.

Trading without a plan is sure-shot way to losing millions in stock markets. You can do my conservative option course and learn ways to set up trades for monthly income.

{ 0 comments }

Selling a put option is a slightly bullish strategy wherein the stock has to move up else the put seller may face a loss. Its better to sell a put option slightly OTM – Out of The Money. You must have read in lots of places that its better to sell an ATM (At The Money) put option, but my experience has been good with selling put options slightly out of the money. Out of the money put option gives you time to decide to book profit or take a stop loss.

Suppose you are very bullish on a stock then there are four things you can do:

1. Buy the stock in cash
2. Buy its Future
3. Buy an ATM Call option
4. Sell an ATM or OTM Put option

No. 1 is the best if you have enough cash to buy the stock and hold. There is no tension or worry about the trade finishing on expiry day. You can hold the stock till you retire.

No. 2 Future is the most dangerous trade of all four. In this month Jul, 2019 Yes Bank is going up 10% one day and falling 10% the next day – imagine the situation of a future buyer or seller caught on the wrong direction. But if it was a call or a put buy the trader would have managed to escape with a limited loss.

No. 3 is ok but you must have strong view on the stock. Plus the IV of the stock must be low to buy an option whether its call or put. But the biggest enemy is time value or theta decay. Sometimes even when the option buyer is right in direction, he loses the trade. Read this post to know issues with buying options.

No. 4 is good option if the trader wants to eat the time value premium of the option. However a stock crash might be dangerous so the trader must have a strong bullish view in the stock.

You must read news about the company before selling its put option. A company having financial, management or any other issue do not qualify for this strategy. In fact no trades must be done on such a stock.

After reading such news will you trade in Yes Bank?

One man alone lost Rs 7,000 crore in YES Bank rout since August 2018

Yes Bank Shares Fall 13% After Earnings Miss

Yes Bank drops 20% as bad loans mount, provisions surge

Yes Bank’s investors are desperate for a buyer amid fears of a massive quarterly loss

Obviously, the answer is NO. Still, look at option chain and volume in Yes Bank as on 18-07-19 – there is heavy volume in options trading:

YesBank-OptionChain-18-7-19
Source:
https://www.moneycontrol.com/stocks/fno/view_option_chain.php?sc_id=YB&sel_exp_date=2019-07-25

This is speculative trading at its best.

If you are reading this – make sure not to trade such stocks going in a bad new phase. It does not matter how bad the news is. Avoid trading in such a stock. You may suffer even if you short the stock because you do not know when the stock will rebound.

So selling a put option in such a stock is a Big NO.

What you can do if you have a very bullish long-term outlook in a stock? You can consistently sell its OTM put option month after month. Of course you must keep a limit to the loss you want to take in the trade. If that is reached you have to stop the trade. Same with profit booking. The stock will not keep rising forever so put a stop to your profits too if you are selling a put option of the stock consistently.

If you compare the results between a stock buyer and a put option seller you will see that the put option seller wins more times when the stock falls to the limit of the strike price of the option sold, stays at the same place at expiry, or goes a very small percentage.

What should you do when you sell a put option?

Keep limit to the money that you are willing to lose in the trade. Its not required for you to take this trade till expiry if the stock has fallen down. You are free to exit the trade if you see that the stock is falling and reached the level of the put option sold.

Note that selling put option strategy is a neutral to bullish strategy. You can sell a put option if the result of the stock has come better than expected, or the stock is not moving much or is witnessing huge spike up everyday.

Important points to note:

1. Do not use all money in your account to sell a put option.
2. Always hedge your put option sold.
3. Keep extra cash for adjusting the position in case you want to close the losing sold option and move to a lower strike.
4. Standard deviation volatility of the stock will give you an idea of how far you can sell a put option. However this does not guarantee that the stock will not hit the strike – but it does give you a general idea.

{ 0 comments }

When you lose money trading in stock markets – its just not the loss you must add the interest lost had you kept that money in a Bank Fixed Deposit.

Read this email I got:

Hi Dilip Bhai,

I was a regular trader in the stock market but form 2005 to 2007 after that I had lost my all money in the crash, which is around Rs.15 lakh. If I invested that money in FD that would be more than 40 lakhs. Just think what I lost in this market. Then I stopped trading for 10 years and I thought I need more education to trade in stock market and I found a teacher who taught me trading in option with hedging option and hedging option with future, pair trading in options, arbitraging with current and next month future, time decay technics with current month and next month option selling, 22 ways of option hedge trading like butterfly, collar, condor, straddle, strangle but ultimately none of them can make money for me. Now my experience is this that somehow market will fetch money from the trader, no trader can earn from this market for a long run, may be 5% of trader are exceptional or lucky or punter what ever. Honestly do you think I need to learn much more or to quite for ever.

Here is the screenshot of that email:

And here is another trader losing 15 Lakh:

15 lakh loss is 40 lakh if FD interest added

Adding FD interest loss to the loss makes sense. Current Bank FD rates as of July 2019 is 7% per year. So whatever your loss you can use this calculator with 7% per year interest rate to know your exact loss till date:

https://www.thecalculatorsite.com/finance/calculators/compoundinterestcalculator.php

Coming to the question, if you have lost too much money trading the stock markets (too much money is more than 5 lakhs with interest) – well even I am in that club, then should you learn and start trading again?

Ans – Well this is your personal opinion. If you have the urge to trade and invest even after the loss then yes you must learn to trade but you have to change your mindset to become a very conservative trader. You just cannot trade for revenge.

You have to change your mindset that 10% a month is simply not possible in the long run from stock trading. You must learn to first protect your capital by hedging your trades and be happy with 2-3% a month.

Use this calculator to know how much you can make at 2-3% a month if you start now and trade for next 10 years:
https://www.thecalculatorsite.com/finance/calculators/compoundinterestcalculator.php

You have to be patient to recover your money – there is no other alternative.

My Nifty Conservative Course and Bank Nifty courses will help you to achieve 2-3% a month – but you must have the will to learn and trade.

If interested you can pay the course fee online here.

{ 0 comments }

Date of posting: 04-Jul-2019

Its strange that tomorrow is Budget 2019 and INDIA VIX has actually dropped:

INDIA VIX 04-JUL-2019

INDIA VIX 04-JUL-2019

Usually, INDIA VIX increases prior to budget or an event day and then drops after the event is over. But this time it’s different.

I think the reason is that India already knows what’s there in the budget because the interim budget has already been presented on 1 February 2019. Due to the General Elections to be held in Apr-May 2019, The Interim Union Budget of India for the year 2019 was presented by acting Finance Minister Piyush Goyal on 1 February 2019.

It looks like traders have an impression that there will not be a major change in the budget to be presented, therefore, India VIX is not showing a rise.

So what can you do tomorrow?

1. Reduce lot size.
2. Keep your profits and stop losses smaller than what you take on average trading days.
3. If you are a positional trader do not change your plan, but you can bring your stop loss closer.
4. If conservative trader then better do not trade, stay away from markets. Here are 7 reasons why you should not trade on budget day.

Note: If you are fed up with stock market losses you can do my courses.

Basically, my course will teach you how to combine buying and selling and create a hedge. They give you an edge over naked trading and keep you at peace – so you can wait for profits. On top of that if planned well your success rate will be over 80%.

Even after an increase in selling margin block, you will make an average of 3% per month. And there will not be any stress as these are direction independent strategies.

Nifty course has 5 such strategies. Min required is 1.5 Lakh.
Bank nifty has 2 strategies. Min required is 1.2 Lakh. For intraday in BN, only 70k required.

What you will learn:

– Conservative Options hedging
– Futures hedging
– Equities hedging
– Aggressive Options hedging
– Bonus strategy for reversal benefit

Here is the complete process of my course:

Once you pay I will send you the course materials for studying to your email. They are well explained in step by step manner with examples in PDF files. There is a total of 6 pdf files in Nifty and bank nifty courses.

Whenever free you read these files strategy by strategy and ask me questions via phone/WhatsApp/email to clear doubts.
This will take about 2 days. Then you start paper trading and still can ask me questions. This will take about 10 days. After this, you can start trading. You can still ask me doubts in live real trading for one year from the date of payment.

Then you can start trading on your own. No need to depend on anyone once you are on your own.

Course fees can be paid online here.

You can contact me after payment.

{ 0 comments }

A lot of traders move from buying options to selling options. Though in India since margin blocked is too high to sell options, many traders are unable to sell it. Moreover many traders do not want to sell options as they think its unlimited loss.

Huge margin blocked plus the unlimited loss combined effect stops many option traders to sell options. Some who want to sell, do not have the money to sell options, and those who have do not want to sell because they cannot overcome the fear of unlimited loss hovering their minds plus the greed to make unlimited money stops them from selling options.

Selling options can be dangerous if the stock moves against the sold option rapidly. If you leave a sold option overnight then a gap opening against sold options can be dangerous too.

Things to Keep in Mind When Selling Options:

1. Keep a limit on Position Lot Size:

If your account is 10 lakh it’s foolish to use entire margin to sell options without hedge. At max you can sell with margin blocked not over 5 lakhs otherwise you are taking too much risk.

2. Do not sell At The Money (ATM) Options

For overnight positions selling At The Money Options is not recommended. This is one option that will become In The Money even with a small move of the stock against it.

3. Create a Spread:

You can create a spread by buying a call option at a higher strike price than the short call option you sold. Once you create a spread it is known as a call credit spread. Though it may not help as much as you think, but creating a spread limits the loss from the time you create it. That way you can wait for a reversal if you want. If it does not reverses still your losses will be limited to the time you created a spread.

Note that creating a call credit spread will need some money because you will have to use some of the premium that you collected on the short call option to purchase and protect using the long call option. This will reduce your potential profit, but it will help limit any additional risk involved in the trade.

4. Sell A Put:

This is done by a lot of traders worldwide. What they do is sell an ATM Put where currently the stock is. However selling a put has limited potential to curb the loss from selling the call. However it does limit the loss to some extend and gives the trade some time to relax. If the stock remains in same place for long – the trade may make money from both the call sold and put sold. However if the stock reverses, you may have to exit the put sold to limit the loss from it. If it does not – you can sell one more put at the next strike collecting more premium to limit the loss in selling call.

This is some great ways to adjust a losing call sold position. But more than the adjustment make sure ghat your position size is appropriate to what you can manege before the trade goes live, else it gets hard to manage. Please note that any of the above adjustments will not work if you have too big of a position size.

So your first adjustment should be to reduce the lot size traded.

Hopefully this article helps you. If you have any questions, you can write in the comments section.

{ 2 comments }

Trades wait for result season to trade the long straddle or long strangle in options to take benefit of the stock move either up or down.

If you do not know what is long straddle or long strangle you can read the following articles:
https://www.theoptioncourse.com/how-to-play-a-long-straddle/

https://www.theoptioncourse.com/how-to-trade-long-strangle/

Novice option traders do not know that Theta or time value is a very important factor in options premium. If you do not know Option Greeks you can download this file here:

https://www.theoptioncourse.com/Option-Basic-Course-by-DILIP-SHAW.pdf

You can read in the file that more than 60% of the option premium has time value built in it. That means the more time the stock stays in the same position, the more there in premium decay in options and it increases faster towards the expiry.

Trading the long straddle or long strangle is very common trades done during the earning season. Basically, traders want to play a potential big move after an earnings event. Infosys is a very popular stock traded during earnings season. But does a long straddle or long strangle makes a profit as expected by the trader?

Some traders go by market expectation. It’s common in every country where economists/market experts “predict” the result of a company one day before the actual result comes in. Some traders want to go with the market expectation and buy a call or put options as per the expectation. Like they buy a call if the experts feel that the company will perform better or they buy put if the market pundits expect a bad result of a company.

Sometimes they make money sometimes they do not. But the worst nightmare is when the trader sees the stock moving in the correct direction of their trade yet they do not see the option moving in their favour, in fact they see that the option premium has actually declined even when the direction was correct.

Why does this happen?

The enemy is the Implied Volatility (IV) crush that happens after the result is out in the public domain.

Where can you see Implied Volatility (IV) of a stock?

Well NSE website displays it. Take a look at this picture – 16.95 is the IV of Infosys 740 Call Option expiring on 27-Jun-19 as on Jun 17, 2019, 11:40:23 IST:

INFY Implied Volatility (IV) 17-Jun-19

Source:
https://www.nseindia.com/

After Theta (Time Value), IV has the next big impact on option premiums.

Earnings events are very unique as the market does not know where the stock will move after the result is declared. For some strange reason, some stocks do not take the path as per the results. Even after good results some stocks actually decline. Well, I can write a post on this as well but in small it’s due to stop loss hitting. After 1 pm the move gets sharp.

In an unknown state, the Implied Volatility (IV) of a stock will increase, in-effect increasing the option premium before the event. The event can be anything like election results, a war-like situation, earning season or some major economic issues.

Theta decreases constantly for every option but Implied Volatility (IV) of a stock depends on the prevailing market situation.
Since result/earning season is one of them, Implied Volatility (IV) increases before the result is declared and decreases VERY FAST once the quarterly earnings are announced in media..

No there is NO manual intervention. Implied Volatility (IV), Theta and other Option Greeks are controlled by software to decide the option premiums. It’s hard to manually feed the data for each option traded.

Not sure if the event dates are inserted manually in the software or not, but this is what happens.

Once the result is out – Implied Volatility (IV) crushes and the software re-prices all of the options of the stock immediately. The option is then left with only the Theta value and other Option Greeks which has little impact on option pricing.

This takes out a major profit for the option buyer even if the stock moves in the direction of the option. A lot of times the option buyer loses money. As an option buyer, if you buy a call or a put option before earnings, you’re paying for this expected implied volatility and what I see is that more often than not, the stock does not move as far as a trader is paying for the expected premium. In simple language, you are paying for the theta and implied volatility that is guaranteed to crush once the result is out. So if you buy options before results, you are paying for some premium that is not in your favour.

What about those who trade long straddle or long strangle?

A long straddle / strangle will obviously lose money on one side, and the other side where the direction was right – the option premiums get crushed due to Implied Volatility (IV) getting crushed.

Implied Volatility (IV) gets crushed because the expectation of a big move has collapsed as the information is out in the market, it’s publicly available.

Does the long straddle or long strangle always lose money?

No. If the stock moves a lot like more than 8% then the long straddle or long strangle will be in good profit. But I have seen that a 5% move does not have much impact on long straddle or long strangle due to IV crush the option premium decay does not increases that much in value even after 5% move especially after the earnings are out in media.

Conclusion:

If you expect a 10% move in a stock then only trade the long straddle or long strangle before the result day.

If not sure of the move you can always trade non-directional strategies. These strategies are direction independent and make money wherever the stock moves. Looses are controlled by hedging the positions. My Nifty and Bank Nifty course teaches exactly that. These strategies make money wherever the stock goes.

{ 1 comment }

Agreed we all trade to make money. But what if it’s taking too much of your time? A full time trader may be able to give time to trade but what about those like you who have a full time job. Can they trade full time?

The answer is yes. Which my nifty course you need not keep looking at the trade 24*7. Just twice a day is enough.

But there are many who trade time for money forgetting that the trades are affecting their jobs. I got sacked on the job. I was caught red handed trading stock markets while on job. In those days there was no way to trade stock markets on a smart phone… Now days it’s easier.

You must know how to deal with time for trading vs money. For example a commodities trader traders from morning till night. Is this good? It’s not.

If you are earning money and working from morning to night then you are not living a life. What is the point of earning money and not living a life?

Time and money have a very important relationship. To get success in trading and in life, you must understand the relationship between the two.

Some People are Rich in Money but Poor on Time

My advocate is very wealthy. He owns a BMW and lives in a flat worth over 2.5cr. He is a property dispute and criminal lawyer and handles cases of who is who. So you can imagine how much he earns. But there is a problem. Whenever I try to meet him it takes me 2 days to get an appointment.

There also I have to wait at least 2 hours before my turns comes in.

Well it’s not good to ask someone how much they earn but it’s easy to ask how many hours they work. They feel happy about it. He works almost 12 hours a day every week, and this includes Sundays too.

He rarely goes on a vacation. Well he cannot as it is not in his hands to manage the dates of the cases he handle. He only eats breakfast with his family – rest of the times he eats alone.

What’s the point of making money if you don’t have any time to enjoy your life?

A successful person is who works smart, hard and still has enough time to enjoy his success.

A good successful trader is someone who trades without trading too much time for it. I would rather trade 2-3 hours a day and make less rather work from 9 to 3.30 pm on stress and make slightly more than what I make trading less time. Which I do.

If you do not have freedom to do what you want with your money then there is no point in making too much money. With my courses Nifty & Bank Nifty you will have both money and time to have some fun in life.

First week of June 19 I went on a sudden vacation to Gangtok, Sikkim. I had no idea what happened to stock markets from 1-7 June, 19 as I just closed all positions and took time off.

Here are two pics of the beautiful place taken from my mobile on my way to Yumthang, Sikkim:

Zero Point, Sikkim Yumthang, Sikkim
{ 0 comments }

Trading is very stressful no doubt because it’s uncertain and risky. One day you make money and another day you lose. But still you cannot take your hands off trading as you get tied to this habit. There is ego clash, wins, defeats all this leads to anxiety and stress.

You can use these techniques that can lower stress levels and make you less anxious in your decision making.

Why do traders get anxious while trading?

Because they are uncertain about the results so they are worried, nervous and uncertain about the outcome resulting in stress.

So why people are willing to accept this stress?

Because it’s a trade-off for the freedom they can get from their job and the chances of scalability of income is there if successful.

If you want to become a successful trader you must overcome your anxiety or at least reduce it to a large extend. If you want to become a good trader you must get rid of trading anxiety, this will improve your trading decisions. This will make your trading less stressful and more enjoyable.

Here are five things you can do to reduce anxiety:

1. Try to trade less volatile stocks or Index like Nifty

If you trade extremely volatile stock your trade may hit stop loss pretty fast. This may lead to stress. However if you trade less volatile stocks then chances of winning is more as you have enough time to book profits or take some step before the stop loss is hit.

Big returns in short period of time is not possible so trade less volatile stocks and make an exit with small profit. With volatile stocks you will panic and take a loss.

You will need some expertise to trade volatile stocks.

2. Reduce Your Position Sizes

When you start it is advisable to reduce your lot size. In 10 lots just 1 point MTM will show 750 loss in Nifty (as per lot size of 75), and you may start to panic. Agreed a 20 point profit in a day will be great – but to get that you may have to cross a 10 point loss that is 7500 – that’s just too much to bear and you may exit.

If you are a technical trader you will get confused between seeing the MTM (Mark to Margin) loss or profits of too many lots. and watching the signals.

The MTM loss will create anxiety which may force you to exit the trade without reaching its goal.

Focusing primarily on making and losing money makes anyone fearful and greedy. You should hide your unrealized PNL when you trade to reduce trade anxiety and minimize emotions.

3. Have A Proper and Well Optimized Trading System

Though I do not believe in back testing a technical analyst has back tested my strategies and found them to be good.
https://www.theoptioncourse.com/back-testing-dilip-shaw-course-strategies-by-technical-analyst/

This is his email:

Hi Dilip,
As promised, here is the testimonial.
I am a full time trader since last 4 years. I took your course 7 months back and was really impressed. I had read lot of books before that but your strategy 2 rang the bell in my head.
I backtested 2 years of 15 minutes data of Nifty (Amibroker) and kept on playing with some parameters. I noticed that when VIX > 17 and Nifty premium received ( from Strategy 1) > 0.004 of Nifty current value, results were superb.
In last 7 months, I took 8 trades and all were profitable. The best thing about this strategy is it is scale-able. Right now I am doing it on 14 lots.
Once again thanks for sharing your knowledge.
Please don’t share my name
Regards,
Name Withheld

Though a back tested strategy is not front tested at least it gives you confidence to trade. If you can back test a strategy and found it to be good it will reduce your anxiety and you will be able to trade well. You will not unnecessary panic and take a bad trade.

This makes entering and exiting positions a lot easier. You always know what you will be doing, and therefore have a lot less anxiety and stress in your trading. When you have defined rules, you will not change your trading pattern. Without defined trading rules you are just gambling.

4. Move From Smaller Time Frames to Longer Time Frames

There is no reason to stick to intraday trading if you are not good at it. I have worked with many students and found that some are very busy in their job yet want to do intraday trading. If intraday trading is not realistic it’s better to trade longer time frames where you get enough time to book profits.

A mind free of clutters is very important to trade. You cannot do job with one hand and trade with another. If you do you will fail in both. I was caught red handed trading in office and was immediately sacked by my boss the same day. Do not let that happen to you.

If intraday trading is not for you better change your trading style and trade positional trades.

My Nifty and Bank Nifty course strategies has all positional trades. Course fees.

5. Pre-define Your Stops Which Includes Loss and Profits

If you pre-define your profit target and your stop loss you are better off psychologically. This will reduce anxiety. If you do not know how much you want to make or lose in the trade then your anxiety will increase. Pre-defining it keeps your emotions in control.

Peace your stop loss and target in the system once your trade is live. And then it’s better not to look at the trades and let the system take control.

{ 2 comments }
Menu