INDIA VIX has increased by 54.09% in the last month. It is up by nearly 70% from 10 to 17 in the last few days.
Finally, the election factor is playing out in the market in full swing. I expect more upswing in the coming days probably up to 25.
I have written this earlier too so why am I writing again?
It is because INDIA VIX has gone above 17. Below 17 is considered a normal zone. But over 17 is considered a very volatile market or indicates some huge volatility coming shortly. This is true – the General Elections are ongoing. The 4th of June will be the D-Day when the results will be out.
Technically and even historically on this day, INDIA VIX should be the highest. This time however things are different.
Indian markets have already factored in BJP’s win in this election, however, if they lose INDIA vix may shoot above 25 and markets will witness a huge fall.
In a fall usually, the retail investors suffer the most, not the HNIs. They have a cushion and sell only a part of their holdings. Retail investors sell their entire holdings.
If you are reading this please do not make this mistake. Be strong in a fall and have control of your patience. These times teach you more than the easy times we have seen last year.
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